Frequently Asked Questions

11Stat is an AI-assisted analytics platform that produces data-driven analysis, probability modelling and statistics for football matches. It provides outputs such as expected goals (xG), match-outcome probabilities, a model confidence score and historical backtests. It is not a betting or gambling service.

No. 11Stat accepts no bets, guarantees no results and gives no betting tips. The platform only provides data analysis, probability models and simulation output; users apply this information for their own research.

Fixtures, team form and market odds are pulled near-real-time from licensed sports-data providers and cached server-side. Data refreshes regularly on match day; odds come from a verified market average rather than a single bookmaker.

xG (expected goals) is a statistic that estimates the probability that a shot or a match results in a goal, based on past similar situations. It shows how many clear chances teams create independently of the actual score and is a core input to the 11Stat probability model.

The confidence score combines how strongly several independent models (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Elo/form) agree on the same outcome, data quality and historical calibration into a 0-10 value. A higher score means more model agreement; it is not a guarantee.

A backtest is a simulation of how the model performed on past matches. Paper ROI is a quality metric computed on paper without real money; it is not real profit, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

From the "Query Match Analysis" panel on the home page you pick a date and search a team to list every league's matches that day, then select a match to run a detailed analysis. Free accounts can run a limited number of queries per day.

No. 11Stat produces probabilities and scenarios; it does not guarantee any outcome. All outputs are analytical/simulation in nature and contain no claims such as "certain", "guaranteed" or "will win".

The platform uses a multi-engine approach including Poisson and Dixon-Coles goal models, an Elo/form strength model and Monte Carlo simulation. The models produce probabilities for expected goals, match outcome, over/under and both-teams-to-score markets and are calibrated with paper backtests.

11Stat has a free plan (Free Data) with limited daily match analyses and access to core model outputs. The two paid plans — Core and Pro Research — add full analytical depth, all engine evidence, calibration transparency and data export.

11Stat takes past match data, team form and real market odds and computes the probability of each outcome using multi-engine models such as Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Elo. The output is not a single certain tip but a calibrated probability distribution plus a 0-10 confidence score; the user makes the final decision and there is no result guarantee.

No. 11Stat makes no guaranteed or "lock" match claims, because no model can guarantee a match outcome. Instead it flags the scenarios where multiple models agree most strongly and the confidence score is highest; these are probability indicators, not win guarantees.

11Stat is a data analytics layer, not a betting service: it accepts no bets, guarantees no results and gives no betting tips. You review the match analysis, xG, confidence score and model agreement and base your own research on data rather than chance. All outputs are analytical/simulation and do not guarantee results.

A high confidence score means several independent models agree on the same outcome and the data is strong, which helps you base your reading on a firmer probability footing. But even a high score is not a guarantee; football is high-variance and low-probability outcomes still happen.